Davey VJ, Glass RJ.. Rescinding community mitigation strategies in an influenza pandemic. Emerg Infect Dis. 2008 Mar;14(3):365-72.
Using a networked, agent-based computational model of a stylized community, we evaluated thresholds for rescinding 2 community mitigation strategies after an influenza pandemic. We ended child sequestering or all-community sequestering when illness incidence waned to thresholds of 0, 1, 2, or 3 cases in 7 days in 2 levels of pandemic severity. An unmitigated epidemic or strategy continuation for the epidemic duration served as control scenarios. The 0-case per 7-day rescinding threshold was comparable to the continuation strategy on infection and illness rates but reduced the number of days strategies would be needed by 6% to 32% in mild or severe pandemics. If cases recurred, strategies were resumed at a predefined 10-case trigger, and epidemic recurrence was thwarted. Strategies were most effective when used with high compliance and when combined with stringent rescinding thresholds. The need for strategies implemented for control of an influenza pandemic was reduced, without increasing illness rates.
See Also:
Latest articles in those days:
- Airway organoids reveal patterns of influenza A tropism and adaptation in wildlife species 3 hours ago
- Early nasal and lung transcriptomic profiles reveal pathways associated with divergent clinical outcomes following H7N1 high pathogenicity avian influenza virus infection 3 hours ago
- [preprint]Acquisition of specific human respiratory tract binding of 2.3.4.4b H5N1 hemagglutinins requires multiple mutations 3 hours ago
- [preprint]Infection of the bovine mammary gland by avian H5N1 subclade 2.3.4.4b influenza viruses 3 hours ago
- Imported case of avian influenza A(H9N2) virus infection in a patient with miliary tuberculosis, Italy, March 2026 2 days ago
[Go Top] [Close Window]


