Guo F, Zhang P, He G, Ho KF, Tian L.. Ambient ozone reduces influenza activity in Hong Kong with effect moderated by epidemic phase. Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2026 Sep 12;323:120791
Ambient ozone (O3) has been reported to be associated with influenza activity, but evidence remains inconsistent, particularly in subtropical settings. Here, we investigated this question in subtropical Hong Kong using weekly and daily data from 2005 to 2016 through a multi-method triangulation methodology integrating convergent cross mapping (CCM) from dynamical systems theory, Peter-Clark momentary conditional independence (PCMCI) algorithm from graphical causal modeling, and regression-based generalized linear model (GLM). We found a consistent inhibitory relationship of O3 with influenza activity at a one-week lag. This effect strengthened slightly with increasing O3 concentration across the low-to-moderate range but depended more markedly on epidemic activity itself. The effect magnitude varied with epidemic phase: O3-associated influenza reduction diminished during immunity-saturated epidemic peaks but increased as new waves emerge when baseline immunity was presumably low. This state-dependent pattern points to a putative immune-priming pathway through which ambient O3 may reduce influenza activity in real-world complex systems. Our population-level evidence calls for further experimental validation to inform seasonal epidemic and pandemic preparedness.
See Also:
Latest articles in those days:
- Limited added benefit of seasonal influenza vaccination before A(H5) vaccination in mice and ferrets challenged with A(H5N1) 3 hours ago
- Emergence of Novel Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus A(H5N1) Clade 2.3.4.4b in Commercial Poultry, Bangladesh 3 hours ago
- Molecular Epidemiology and Evolution of Swine Influenza A Viruses, Vietnam, 2020-2024 3 hours ago
- Isothermal Detection of Influenza D Virus using Reverse Transcription Loop-Mediated Isothermal Amplification 3 hours ago
- Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus Subtype 5 in Cetaceans, Brazil 3 hours ago
[Go Top] [Close Window]


