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2024-4-29 22:21:36


Yang W, Cummings MJ, Bakamutumaho B, Kayiwa J. Transmission dynamics of influenza in two major cities of Uganda. Epidemics. 2018 Mar 19
submited by kickingbird at Mar, 29, 2018 11:18 AM from Epidemics. 2018 Mar 19

In this paper, we report the epidemic characteristics of the three co-circulating influenza viruses (i.e., A/H1N1, A/H3N2, and B) in two tropical African cities—Kampala and Entebbe, Uganda—over an eight-year period (2008–2015). Using wavelet methods, we show that influenza epidemics recurred annually during the study period. In most months, two or more influenza viruses co-circulated at the same time. However, the epidemic timing differed by influenza (sub)type. Influenza A/H3N2 caused epidemics approximately every 2 years in both cities and tended to alternate with A/H1N1 or B. Influenza A/H1N1 and B produced smaller but more frequent epidemics and biennial epidemics of these two viruses tended to be synchronous. In addition, epidemics of A/H3N2 were more synchronized in the two cities (located ca.37?km apart) than that of A/H1N1 or influenza B.

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