The challenges associated with the U.S. influenza vaccine supply are multi-faceted. Influenza viruses change from year to year, so influenza vaccines must be updated annually to include the viruses that will most likely circulate in the upcoming season. Once the viruses are selected for the new formulation, manufacturers operate under a very tight timeline for producing, testing, releasing and distributing the vaccine. Due to these time constraints, any problems encountered during production may cause shortages or delays, and in fact, such problems have impacted the supply in many of the recent influenza seasons. The number of companies that manufacture influenza vaccine for the U.S. has increased in recent years and while production problems at any one of the companies can have substantial impact on supply and/or the timing of its delivery, we have experienced a growth in the manufacturing capacity which has added stability to the vaccine supply since the 2007-08 season.
Both the mid–term and long-range outlooks for the U.S. influenza vaccine supply appear very positive. Six companies are currently licensed to produce influenza vaccine in the U.S. market (sanofi pasteur, Inc., MedImmune Vaccines Inc., Novartis Vaccines, CSL Biotherapies, GlaxoSmithKline Biologicals, and ID Biomedical Corporation), many of whom are working to expand their production capacities.
Meanwhile, research continues on a number of fronts to explore: (1) the potential benefits of alternative routes of vaccine administration; (2) development of improved vaccines; (3) the use of adjuvants to enhance the immunogenicity of existing vaccines; and (4) new ways of producing influenza vaccine more quickly and reliably without using embryonated eggs.
Beginning in 2004, CDC began purchasing a late-season influenza vaccine stockpile to provide a limited quantity of vaccine for children (using Vaccines for Children [VFC] Program funds) to address urgent supply problems that may exist in December, January or beyond. Since in most years, influenza disease activity does not peak until January or later, this approach to stockpiling can be quite useful if vaccine production delays or shortages drive demand later in influenza vaccination season.
A stockpile developed early in the season would remove doses from circulation during the fall months when demand for vaccination is highest. Especially in recent years, the manufacturers making inactivated influenza vaccine have been producing at capacity just to attempt to meet existing demand. Production capacity is expected to increase substantially as additional manufacturers enter the U.S. market. An early season stockpile might be more feasible with this enhanced capacity.
Demand for influenza vaccine varies from year to year. Within each influenza vaccination season, demand varies by month, usually peaking in October or November and rapidly declining after that. Meanwhile, because timing of influenza vaccine production and distribution is unpredictable, availability of the vaccine supply does not always coincide with peak demand. Thus, manufacturers with vaccine coming off the production line in middle or late November or later may not be able to sell it all and providers receiving vaccine in this same time frame may not be able to convince patients to receive it, even though late season vaccination is encouraged and in most years will be beneficial.
Yes, efforts are ongoing to increase the supply of thimerosal-free or preservative-free (trace thimerosal) influenza vaccine for the U.S. market. At the present time, five of the six manufacturers licensed in the United States produce at least one formulation that is thimerosal-free or preservative-free (trace thimerosal). See the Table: Influenza Vaccine Manufacturers for the 2009-10 Influenza Season.
Influenza vaccine production and distribution in the US are primarily private sector endeavors. CDC does not have the authority, resources or relationships with providers necessary to carry out or control vaccine distribution.
CDC encourages influenza vaccine manufacturers and distributors to use a distribution strategy that provides vaccine to all provider types in a comparable timeframe. Such an approach allows the broadest possible access for vaccine throughout the season and is consistent with national data collected over the past five years that indicate adults in the United States receive influenza vaccine in a wide variety of venues, including private provider offices, worksites, clinics, hospitals, health departments, retail settings, and senior centers. While there is a relationship between age or health status and the location in which vaccines are received, the data demonstrate that all of these venues serve at least some elderly or high risk patients.
The timing of the completion of influenza vaccine production varies from year to year and depends upon on a number of factors, including the strains chosen for inclusion in the vaccine. Even in a year in which each step of production goes well, since influenza vaccine manufacturers are currently producing vaccine at or near full capacity, it isn"e;t possible for all of the doses to be produced and distributed before the beginning of the vaccination season.
To allow as many providers as possible to begin vaccinating early in the season, CDC encourages manufacturers and distributors to use a distribution strategy in which partial shipments are used to allow as many providers as possible to begin vaccination activities early in the vaccination season. Ideally, the intervals between shipments are short so that each provider has a continuous supply and can continue vaccinating patients without interruption.
Manufacturers say that, because of the unpredictable nature and complexity of biologics production, they cannot always anticipate when vaccine lots will be completed and released. Distributors must rely on the manufacturers to provide them with this information. Both manufacturers and distributors are reluctant to project very far into the future about when shipments will be made because they do not want to create unrealistic expectations among customers and then have to deal with customer disappointment and displeasure.
The primary reason for the variation in timing is that different types of vaccine providers receive their vaccine from different sources. A provider may order influenza vaccine (1) directly from the manufacturer; (2) from a distributor, who is a customer of the manufacturer; or (3) from a secondary distributor, from whom the provider also receives other medical products. Some of these routes of distribution are more direct than others, which can affect the timing of vaccine delivery.
* "Healthy" indicates persons who do not have an underlying medical condition that predisposes them to influenza complications.